Whilst researching water and food in Africa for my last blog post, I came across the concept of virtual water in several papers. As this is a new idea to me, I have decided to write a post on my findings upon further research.
A country’s economy can be either
open or closed. A closed economy is self-sufficient, with no trading activity
with other economies. In contrast to this, an open economy readily participates
in international trading to meet the country’s needs and development goals. This
means that a country can import resources that are scarcely available and export
commodities that are in abundance.
The African Union’s Agenda
2063 and the UN 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development go hand-in-hand to ‘build
a prosperous and united Africa’ [SDGC in Africa]. Countries such as South Africa and Zimbabwe
have arid climates and are therefore increasingly water-stressed. This
threatens the food security of these countries as water availability and food
production are intrinsically tied. In such regions, food self-sufficiency may
not be achieved, resulting in the need for imports.
As importing real water is
not feasible due to the vast infrastructure required and distance between countries,
the idea of virtual water was introduced. In simple terms, virtual water is the
total amount of water required in the production of a product or service. It is
termed ‘virtual water’ as the water is not necessarily found within the final
product.
A country experiencing water
scarcity can thus, import water-intensive products, saving water that would have
originally been used in its production. This may enable a nation to achieve
water security in the future. Hoekstra and Hung calculated in their research
that the global volume of crop-related international water trade between 1995
and 1999 was 695 Gm3 yr-1 [Hoekstra and Hung, 2005]. From this, they were able
to estimate that 13% of the water used in the production of crops was for
export.
African agriculture is vulnerable
to the extreme spatial variation of rainfall, making it difficult for farmers to obtain
consistent crop yields. Moreover, areas such as South Africa has an average
rainfall of 451mm per year which is lower than the minimum rainfall of 500mm
per year. This puts South Africa in the ‘water-stressed’ category and implies
that agricultural yields will be unsuccessful.
It was also estimated that
rain-fed crop yields will decrease by 50%, resulting in some African countries
spending 5-10% of their GDP to adapt to these effects of climate change [Konar and Caylor]. Furthermore,
the International Panel on Climate Change states that even in the absence of climate
change, the current population trends of water usage indicate that more African
countries will surpass the limits of their economically usable, land-based
water resources before 2025 [Climate Change 2007].This highlights the need for African countries
to partake in international virtual water trade to reduce the potential risk of
water scarcity.
Figure 1 - shows the African trade network for virtual water. Each nation is assigned a specific colour with trade links being in the colour of the exporting nation. [Source] |
Africa trades products both,
internally and internationally. Research shows that the trade network within Africa
is greater than the trade connections between Africa and the rest of the world. For
example, the volume of virtual water traded is 3.59km3 and 1.18km3
within African countries and to the rest of the world, respectively.
Figure 1 is a visual representation
of the internal African trade network. It is evident from figure 1 that South
Africa is a major exporter, trading 1.12km3 of virtual water to
other African nations. Most of South Africa’s produces are supplied to Zimbabwe
as shown by the thickness of trade link. This is different from data collected between
1995 and 1999, where Zimbabwe had net export and South Africa had net import [Hoekstra and Hung, 2005]. The reasons for such changes may be due to economic development and political changes.
In conclusion, I think the concept of virtual
water is beneficial to many countries within Africa as water-intensive products
can be imported, allowing the use of the remaining water elsewhere. For example,
statistics show that one tonne of wheat imported represents 1300 tonnes of
water [Kreith, 1991]. The trading of virtual water, internationally and within the continent
will aid the African nations to achieve the UN Sustainable Development Goals, such
as the sixth goal, to ‘ensure availability and sustainable management of water
and sanitation for all’ [UN SDG]. In addition to this, the flow of virtual water,
in the form of grain imports into the Middle Eastern region of Africa was
calculated to be equivalent to the annual flow of the River Nile. This averts
conflict between nations as water insufficiency has been an issue since 1970.
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